Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 7.513379 8.342364 9.269936 10.393896 11.731515 13.288712 15.263115
2025-01-19 6.089681 7.136648 8.409926 10.106099 12.361033 15.341746 19.740850
2025-01-26 5.374264 6.520877 7.994096 10.089797 13.111736 17.525631 24.944611
2025-02-02 5.144783 6.444419 8.202201 10.867533 15.043138 21.839604 35.159477
2025-02-09 4.877233 6.262932 8.215016 11.334419 16.582507 26.012508 47.561527
2025-02-16 4.549583 5.949940 7.983494 11.366480 17.390242 29.150008 60.073973
2025-02-23 4.354620 5.800704 7.966608 11.724300 18.838025 34.098177 81.896615
2025-03-02 4.016139 5.404485 7.520083 11.279230 18.655394 35.416479 94.393786
2025-03-09 3.755002 5.102751 7.191082 10.989890 18.716662 37.354939 112.010994
2025-03-16 3.556845 4.881546 6.969383 10.860470 19.080810 40.247521 139.127047
2025-03-23 3.472805 4.830623 7.021010 11.243186 20.659280 47.392351 209.216946
2025-03-30 3.270451 4.576554 6.705697 10.873530 20.406689 48.791183 246.807304
2025-04-06 3.048194 4.292113 6.342065 10.420213 20.002895 50.060715 298.598000
2025-04-13 2.867501 4.067170 6.069679 10.130706 19.989226 52.994652 399.609060
2025-04-20 2.745690 3.930025 5.939054 10.114319 20.689644 59.378457 658.777712
2025-04-27 2.742507 3.989163 6.165578 10.894899 23.871177 80.730608 3065.825457
2025-05-04 2.695935 3.970002 6.244238 11.363542 26.368029 103.850474 115275.135742
2025-05-11 2.602258 3.862032 6.142836 11.395724 27.486975 121.102466 NaN
2025-05-18 2.550881 3.824692 6.174469 11.754915 29.926136 156.426909 NaN
2025-05-25 2.421549 3.640345 5.899544 11.308143 29.209828 160.393769 NaN
2025-06-01 2.317070 3.495710 5.694867 11.017713 29.037003 171.126638 NaN
2025-06-08 2.235514 3.388501 5.558505 10.887810 29.485752 192.215088 NaN
2025-06-15 2.206642 3.375606 5.613576 11.271962 32.288378 264.840657 NaN